Introduction:
Are Earthquakes Really Happening Everywhere?
- Powerful earthquakes, including the recent Colombian earthquake, across different parts of the world can
create the impression that the planet is suddenly entering a period of
exceptional seismic instability.
- In August 2026 alone, major earthquakes have
struck countries including Colombia and Indonesia, while significant seismic
events have also affected Mexico, Japan and the Philippines in recent months.
On 10 August, a magnitude 7.4 earthquake struck western Colombia; on 14 August,
a magnitude 7.7 earthquake struck the Flores region of Indonesia; and other
major earthquakes have occurred in Mexico, Japan and the Philippines during the
same broader period. The succession of powerful events has naturally raised a
question: Is the world actually experiencing more earthquakes than usual?
The answer, however, requires a distinction between the number of earthquakes
occurring and the number of earthquakes that become disasters. The United
States Geological Survey estimates that around 20,000 earthquakes are located
around the world each year, equivalent to roughly 55 earthquakes every day.
Most are too small to be felt, occur at considerable depth, or happen far from
densely populated areas. Therefore, an apparent increase in earthquake activity
in the news does not necessarily mean that the Earth itself has suddenly become
more seismically active.
- The recent earthquake in Peru provides an excellent case
study for understanding this distinction. On 20 August 2026, a powerful
earthquake struck near Coracora in the Parinacochas Province of Peru's Ayacucho
Region. Peru's Geophysical Institute, through its National Seismological
Centre, reported the earthquake at magnitude 7.2, at a depth of
approximately 108 kilometres, with the epicentre about 35 kilometres
north of Coracora. It was felt across several regions, including Ayacucho, Ica,
Huancavelica and Arequipa, and was also felt lightly in Lima. The reported
intensity at Coracora was III–IV on the Modified Mercalli scale. Initial
reports indicated landslides and rockfalls in mountainous areas, but no major
loss of life or widespread structural collapse was initially reported. Peru's
maritime authorities also stated that the earthquake did not generate a tsunami
threat along the Peruvian coast.
- There is also an important scientific reason why different
agencies may report slightly different values for the same earthquake. Early
earthquake parameters are routinely revised as additional seismic data become
available. For this Peru event, the US Geological Survey's preliminary solution
placed the earthquake at approximately magnitude 6.7 and around 66 kilometres
in depth, while Peru's national seismological authority reported magnitude 7.2
and 108 kilometres. Such differences do not mean that one agency is necessarily
reporting an earthquake that did not occur; rather, earthquake magnitude,
location and depth can be recalculated as more seismic observations are
incorporated. For understanding Peru's geological setting and the event's local
effects, the IGP's national measurement is especially relevant.
Why Do
Earthquakes Happen?
 |
| Semi-liquid asthenosphere, with convective currents cycling |
- Earthquakes are fundamentally a consequence of the dynamic
nature of the Earth's lithosphere, which floats on the semi-liquid asthenosphere, with convective currents cycling as shown in the above infographics. The tectonic plates that form the outer
rigid shell of the planet are continuously moving, although their movement is
generally measured in centimetres rather than metres per year. Plates may move
towards one another at convergent boundaries, move apart at divergent
boundaries, or slide laterally past one another along transform boundaries.
- At
convergent boundaries, one plate may be forced beneath another in a process
known as subduction.
- As tectonic plates move, stress can accumulate within rocks
and along faults. Rocks can deform elastically for a period of time, storing
strain energy. When the accumulated stress exceeds the strength of the rocks or
the frictional resistance along a fault or plate interface, rupture can occur.
Stored energy is then released in the form of seismic waves, producing the
ground motion that we experience as an earthquake.
- This basic mechanism explains why earthquakes are
concentrated in particular parts of the world. They are not randomly
distributed across the planet. Instead, they are strongly associated with plate
boundaries, active faults, subduction zones and regions of continuing crustal
deformation.
Peru and
the Nazca–South American Plate Boundary

- Peru is one of the world's important earthquake-prone
countries because it lies along the western margin of South America, where the Nazca
Plate is being subducted beneath the South American Plate. This convergent
plate boundary forms part of the larger tectonic system responsible for the
development of the Andes and the intense seismicity of the western margin of
South America.
- The Peru earthquake therefore cannot be understood merely as
an isolated event. It is part of a much larger geological process that has
operated for millions of years. The subduction of the oceanic Nazca Plate
beneath the continental South American Plate generates enormous stresses and
deformation, producing earthquakes ranging from shallow crustal events to
intermediate- and deep-focus earthquakes within the descending slab.
- The August 2026 Peru earthquake is particularly interesting
because its depth was around 108 kilometres according to the IGP. This places
it substantially deeper than a typical shallow earthquake. That depth helps
explain why the earthquake could be felt over a wide area without producing the
level of surface destruction that might be expected simply from looking at its
large magnitude. The head of Peru's IGP explained that the earthquake's
considerable depth contributed to its broad radius of perception.
The
Pacific Ring of Fire: Why So Many Earthquakes Occur Around the Pacific

- The concentration of recent powerful earthquakes in
countries such as Colombia, Mexico, Japan, the Philippines, Indonesia and Peru
also brings attention to the Pacific Ring of Fire. The Ring of Fire is a
roughly horseshoe-shaped zone surrounding much of the Pacific Ocean and
represents one of the most seismically and volcanically active regions on
Earth.
- Its exceptional seismic activity is primarily associated
with convergent plate boundaries and subduction zones. Around the Pacific
basin, several oceanic plates are being forced beneath continental or oceanic
plates. These include the Nazca Plate along the western margin of South America
and the Pacific, Philippine Sea and other plates across the western Pacific.
- The recent earthquake sequence illustrates the geographical
importance of this tectonic belt. The USGS recorded a magnitude 7.4 earthquake
near San José del Palmar in Colombia on 10 August, a magnitude 7.7 earthquake
north-northwest of Ende in Indonesia on 14 August, a magnitude 6.3 earthquake
near Mindanao in the Philippines on 5 August, and a major earthquake near Japan
in July.
- Yet this geographical clustering should not be interpreted
as evidence that all these earthquakes are directly connected to one another.
The earthquakes occurred within a broader tectonic environment of high
seismicity, but an earthquake in Indonesia does not ordinarily trigger a major
earthquake thousands of kilometres away in Peru or Colombia. The apparent
global sequence is therefore better understood as a combination of normal
seismic activity, heightened media attention and the occurrence of several unusually
impactful earthquakes within a relatively short period.
Is the
World Actually Experiencing More Earthquakes?
- This is one of the most important questions raised by the
recent earthquake sequence.
- The answer is not necessarily. Earthquakes occur
every day across the planet. The USGS estimates that approximately 20,000
earthquakes are located each year globally. That translates to roughly 55
detected earthquakes every day. The vast majority are small and do not become
news events.
- Modern seismic monitoring has also dramatically improved
earthquake detection. Thousands of seismic instruments operate around the
world, allowing scientists to identify earthquakes that previous generations
might never have known about. Improvements in global communication mean that a
major earthquake can become an international news story within minutes.
- Consequently, the public perception of earthquake frequency
can be strongly influenced by visibility. A sequence of destructive earthquakes
occurring in populated regions can make the planet appear unusually active even
when the overall number of earthquakes remains broadly within expected
long-term patterns.
- The critical distinction is therefore between earthquake
frequency and earthquake impact.
Magnitude
Does Not Tell the Whole Story
- The Peru earthquake provides a particularly clear
demonstration of why magnitude alone cannot explain earthquake damage.
- Magnitude is a quantitative measure associated with the size
of an earthquake and the energy released by the rupture. But the destruction
experienced at a particular location depends on much more than magnitude. The
depth of the earthquake, distance from the epicentre, local geology, duration
of shaking, building quality, population density, terrain and preparedness can
all dramatically influence the outcome.
- This is why two earthquakes of broadly similar magnitude can
produce completely different humanitarian consequences.
- A powerful earthquake occurring beneath a sparsely populated
desert or remote mountain region may result in relatively limited casualties.
The same magnitude earthquake occurring at shallow depth beneath a densely
populated city, particularly where buildings are poorly constructed, can become
a catastrophe within seconds.
- The recent earthquake sequence illustrates this principle.
Colombia's 10 August earthquake was magnitude 7.4 and caused extensive human
and economic losses, while Indonesia's magnitude 7.7 earthquake caused deaths,
injuries, landslides, infrastructure damage and the displacement of thousands
of people.
- Peru, meanwhile, experienced a very powerful earthquake but
initially reported considerably less severe structural destruction. The
difference cannot be explained by magnitude alone.
The
Crucial Role of Earthquake Depth
- Earthquake depth is one of the most important factors in
understanding why the Peru event produced such a different pattern of impacts.
- Earthquakes are commonly described as-
- shallow,
- intermediate
or
- deep according to the depth of their hypocentre.
- As shown in the above infographics, shallow earthquakes occur
relatively close to the Earth's surface and can produce extremely intense
ground motion near the epicentre. Intermediate-depth earthquakes occur deeper
within the Earth, while deep earthquakes originate much farther down within the
subducting lithosphere.
- The Peru earthquake, at approximately 108 kilometres
according to the IGP, belongs to the intermediate-depth category.
- Depth affects how seismic energy reaches the surface. A
deeper earthquake has a greater distance to travel before reaching populated
areas, allowing the energy to spread over a broader region. As a result, the
earthquake may be perceived over a large geographical area while the most
intense surface shaking immediately above the source can be different from that
produced by an equivalent shallow earthquake.
- This is precisely what occurred in Peru. The earthquake was
felt across a large region, including Lima, but the intensity recorded at
Coracora was III–IV on the Modified Mercalli scale. The IGP specifically linked
the unusually broad radius of perception to the earthquake's depth.
- This does not mean that deep earthquakes are harmless. They
can still cause significant shaking, particularly over broad areas. Rather, it
demonstrates that magnitude and depth must be considered together.
Magnitude
and Intensity Are Not the Same
- Another important concept illustrated by the Peru earthquake
is the distinction between magnitude and intensity.
- Magnitude describes the size of the earthquake at its
source. Intensity describes how strongly the earthquake is experienced and what
effects it produces at a particular location.
- One earthquake therefore has a single magnitude value, but
it can produce different intensities at different locations.
- A person standing close to an earthquake's epicentre may
experience violent shaking, while another person hundreds of kilometres away
may experience only gentle movement. The distance between the earthquake source
and the observer, the depth of the earthquake, local geological conditions and
the characteristics of the seismic waves all influence intensity.
- The Peru event demonstrates this perfectly. Although the IGP
reported a magnitude of 7.2, the intensity at Coracora was III–IV on the
Modified Mercalli scale, while the movement was also perceived in distant
regions including Lima.
- Therefore, the statement “a magnitude 7 earthquake means
severe destruction everywhere” is scientifically incorrect.
Why Local
Geology Matters
- The ground beneath a city can dramatically modify earthquake
shaking.
- Different geological materials respond differently to
seismic waves. Hard bedrock generally behaves differently from unconsolidated
sediments, soft soils or water-saturated deposits. In some environments,
seismic waves can be amplified, increasing the duration or intensity of shaking
experienced at the surface.
- This phenomenon is particularly important for large urban
areas built on sedimentary basins or soft ground. Two locations at similar
distances from an earthquake can therefore experience different levels of
shaking because the geological conditions beneath them are different.
- This is one reason earthquake-risk assessment cannot stop
with a tectonic map. Scientists and urban planners must also examine local
geology, soil characteristics, fault proximity and the vulnerability of
structures.
Population
Density Turns an Earthquake into a Disaster
- The human consequences of an earthquake are determined not
only by the physical event but also by the society exposed to it.
- A magnitude 7 earthquake in a sparsely populated region may
result in limited casualties. A similar earthquake striking beneath a densely
populated metropolitan area can produce enormous losses.
- Population density increases the number of people exposed to
ground shaking. Urban concentration also means that more buildings, roads,
bridges, hospitals, schools, power stations, communication networks and water
systems can be affected simultaneously.
- The result is a chain reaction, such as-
- Buildings may collapse.
- Roads and bridges may become
unusable.
- Electricity and telecommunications may fail.
- Water supplies can be
disrupted.
- Hospitals may become overwhelmed. Rescue teams may find their own
access routes blocked by debris or landslides.
- Communities can become isolated
precisely when external assistance is most urgently required.
- The Indonesia earthquake demonstrated this cascading
character of earthquake disasters. The magnitude 7.7 event produced landslides,
blocked roads, damaged buildings and communication problems, while thousands of
residents were forced into temporary shelters.
- Colombia similarly demonstrates how a powerful earthquake
can generate a major humanitarian and economic crisis when significant
populations and infrastructure are exposed. Preliminary assessments reported
extensive building and infrastructure losses, deaths, injuries and missing
people.
Earthquake
Hazard and Earthquake Disaster Are Not the Same
- This distinction is fundamental to understanding modern
disaster management.
- An earthquake hazard is the potential for damaging
seismic activity to occur. An earthquake disaster occurs when that
hazard interacts with exposed and vulnerable populations.
- In simple terms:
- Earthquake hazard + exposure + vulnerability = disaster
risk.
- This explains why earthquake-prone countries do not
necessarily experience disasters every time an earthquake occurs.
- Japan, for example, experiences frequent earthquakes but has
invested heavily in earthquake-resistant buildings, engineering standards,
early warning systems, public education and disaster preparedness. Other
regions with weaker infrastructure or lower coping capacity can experience much
greater human losses from earthquakes of comparable magnitude.
- The decisive question is therefore not simply “How strong
was the earthquake?” but also “Where did it occur, how deep was it, who
was exposed, and how prepared were they?”
- The Peru Earthquake as a Perfect Geological Case Study
- The August 2026 Peru earthquake brings all these concepts
together.
- First, Peru's location along the Nazca–South American plate
boundary explains why the country experiences frequent seismic activity.
Second, the earthquake's magnitude was large enough to attract international
attention. Third, its intermediate depth of approximately 108 kilometres helped
shape the pattern of shaking. Fourth, the earthquake was experienced across a
wide geographical region, demonstrating that deeper earthquakes can have a
broad perceptible footprint. Fifth, mountainous terrain around Ayacucho
introduced the possibility of secondary hazards such as rockfalls and
landslides. Finally, the relatively limited initial structural damage
demonstrates that magnitude alone cannot be used as a proxy for disaster
severity.
- The Peru event therefore acts almost like a natural
laboratory for understanding the relationship between magnitude, depth,
intensity, geology and vulnerability.
Why
Mountains Add Another Dimension to Earthquake Risk
- Earthquakes in mountainous regions create additional hazards
beyond ground shaking.
- The Andes contain steep slopes, fractured rocks, valleys and
transport corridors that can become unstable during strong seismic activity.
Earthquake-induced landslides and rockfalls can block roads, damage bridges and
isolate communities even when buildings remain standing.
- This is particularly important in Peru. Initial reports
following the August earthquake indicated landslides and rockfalls in areas
near Coracora and elsewhere in Ayacucho.
- Thus, the total impact of an earthquake cannot be measured
only by collapsed buildings. A community can suffer severe disruption if its
only road is blocked, a bridge is destroyed, electricity is interrupted, or
communication networks fail.
- Earthquakes therefore frequently produce secondary
hazards, including landslides, tsunamis, liquefaction, fires, dam failures
and infrastructure disruption.
Why the
Recent Earthquakes Appear So Connected
- The simultaneous appearance of major earthquakes in
Colombia, Indonesia, Mexico, Japan, the Philippines and Peru can create a
strong psychological impression that the planet is experiencing one connected
seismic episode.
- However, tectonic geography provides a more nuanced
explanation.
- Several of these countries are located along or near highly
active plate boundaries, particularly around the Pacific basin. Colombia and
Peru lie along the tectonically active western margin of South America. Mexico
sits at the intersection of several tectonic plates. Indonesia and the
Philippines are surrounded by complex subduction and fault systems. Japan lies
at the convergence of multiple plates.
- Their earthquakes therefore have a common broad explanation—active
plate tectonics—but not necessarily a single common trigger.
- The world is not one giant tectonic fault that suddenly
“switches on.” Instead, different plate boundaries accumulate and release
stress independently, although the global seismic network may make their
occurrence appear more closely connected than it actually is.
What
Determines Whether an Earthquake Becomes a Catastrophe?
- The severity of an earthquake disaster can be understood
through a combination of factors.
- The first is magnitude, because larger earthquakes
generally involve greater rupture dimensions and energy release. The second is depth,
because shallow and deeper earthquakes distribute seismic energy differently.
The third is distance from populated areas, because the closer the
source is to people, the greater the potential exposure. The fourth is local
geology, because soils and sediments can amplify shaking. The fifth is population
density, because more people and assets may be exposed. The sixth is building
quality, because poorly designed structures can transform strong shaking
into mass casualties. The seventh is infrastructure resilience, because
damaged roads, bridges, electricity and communication systems can turn an
initial earthquake into a prolonged humanitarian crisis. The eighth is preparedness
and emergency response, because early warning, evacuation planning, public
awareness and rescue capacity can substantially reduce losses.
- The Peru earthquake demonstrates why all these factors must
be considered together.
Can
Earthquakes Be Predicted?
- The recent sequence of earthquakes also raises another
common question: can scientists predict when the next major earthquake will
occur?
- At present, modern seismology cannot reliably predict an
earthquake with sufficient precision in terms of its exact time, location and
magnitude. Scientists can identify active faults, estimate probabilities and
assess long-term seismic hazards, but that is different from predicting that a
particular earthquake will occur at a specific place and time.
- This distinction is crucial.
- Earthquake science is therefore moving strongly toward risk
assessment, monitoring, earthquake-resistant construction and early warning,
rather than relying on precise prediction.
Earthquake
Early Warning Is Different from Earthquake Prediction
- An earthquake early-warning system does not predict an
earthquake before it begins. Instead, it detects the earthquake after rupture
has started and rapidly estimates the incoming shaking so that warnings can
reach areas farther away before the strongest waves arrive.
- This difference may be measured in seconds, but seconds can
be extremely valuable.
- People can move away from hazardous machinery, trains can
slow down, elevators can be stopped at the nearest floor, industrial systems
can enter safe modes, and emergency responders can prepare.
- Therefore, the future of earthquake risk reduction is not
simply about trying to predict earthquakes. It is about making societies less
vulnerable when earthquakes inevitably occur.
What the
Peru Earthquake Teaches the World
- The most important lesson from Peru is that a powerful
earthquake does not automatically equal a catastrophic earthquake disaster.
- The magnitude 7.2 earthquake reported by Peru's IGP was
unquestionably a major seismic event. Yet its intermediate depth, geographical
setting, distance from major population concentrations and other local factors
helped shape a comparatively limited pattern of initial structural damage. At
the same time, its large perceptible radius and associated landslides
demonstrated that the earthquake was far from insignificant.
- This is precisely why earthquake analysis must move beyond
headlines such as “Magnitude 7 earthquake strikes.”
- The scientifically meaningful questions are:
- Where did it occur? How deep was it? What type of fault
or plate boundary was involved? How close was it to populated areas? What was
the local geology? How strong were the buildings? What secondary hazards were
generated? And how prepared was the affected population?
- Only after answering these questions can the real
significance of an earthquake be understood.
Lessons
for India
- The lessons from Peru are highly relevant to India.
- India also contains II- to V seismically active regions,
particularly the Himalayan belt, the Northeast, parts of the Kachchh region and
the Andaman and Nicobar Islands. The Himalayan region is associated with the
continuing convergence of the "Indian Plate" with the "Eurasian Plate," while the
Andaman and Nicobar region lies within a complex tectonic environment
associated with subduction and active faults.
- India's growing urban population makes seismic vulnerability
an increasingly important concern. Cities are not merely collections of
buildings; they are interconnected systems dependent upon electricity, water,
telecommunications, transportation, hospitals and supply chains.
- Consequently, earthquake preparedness must involve more than
emergency rescue. It requires-
- earthquake-resistant construction,
- strict
enforcement of building codes,
- seismic microzonation,
- resilient infrastructure,
- public awareness,
- emergency communication systems,
- regular drills and
scientific monitoring.
- The central lesson from Peru is therefore equally applicable
to India: reducing earthquake risk is ultimately about reducing
vulnerability.
Conclusion:
The Earth Is Not Necessarily Shaking More — But Our Attention Is Increasing
- The recent earthquakes in Colombia, Indonesia, Mexico,
Japan, the Philippines and Peru have understandably generated global concern.
Several have been powerful, and some have produced tragic human consequences.
But the evidence does not support the simplistic conclusion that the Earth has
suddenly begun producing earthquakes at an unprecedented rate.
- Earthquakes have always been occurring continuously because
the planet's tectonic plates are continuously moving.
- What has changed dramatically is our ability to detect,
communicate and observe these events—and, in many regions, the number of people
and assets concentrated in vulnerable areas.
- The Peru earthquake of August 2026 makes this lesson
particularly clear. A magnitude 7.2 earthquake can be widely felt without
producing catastrophic destruction when its depth, location and surrounding
conditions differ from those of a shallow earthquake beneath a major city.
Meanwhile, earthquakes of comparable or even slightly different magnitudes can
produce devastating consequences when they strike vulnerable populations and
infrastructure, as demonstrated by recent events in Colombia and Indonesia.
- Therefore, the real question is not simply “How many
earthquakes are happening?”
- The more important question is:
- “Where are they occurring, who is exposed, and how
vulnerable are the people and systems in their path?”
- Magnitude tells us about the earthquake. Geography tells
us where it happens. Depth tells us how seismic energy reaches the surface.
Geology tells us how the ground responds. Infrastructure tells us how buildings
withstand it. And human vulnerability determines whether an earthquake becomes
a disaster.
- That is the fundamental lesson of the Peru earthquake—and
one of the most important principles in modern earthquake geography and
disaster management.
Thanks.
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